Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000603 0.000694 0.000791 0.000901 0.001023 0.001153 0.001302
2025-05-04 0.000457 0.000581 0.000722 0.000894 0.001097 0.001326 0.001603
2025-05-11 0.000374 0.000509 0.000672 0.000879 0.001132 0.001430 0.001802
2025-05-18 0.000324 0.000469 0.000651 0.000891 0.001196 0.001564 0.002037
2025-05-25 0.000280 0.000429 0.000624 0.000891 0.001238 0.001669 0.002235
2025-06-01 0.000236 0.000383 0.000583 0.000865 0.001245 0.001726 0.002372
2025-06-08 0.000200 0.000343 0.000546 0.000842 0.001249 0.001777 0.002500
2025-06-15 0.000176 0.000318 0.000526 0.000839 0.001279 0.001861 0.002670
2025-06-22 0.000155 0.000296 0.000508 0.000835 0.001306 0.001941 0.002836
2025-06-29 0.000135 0.000272 0.000485 0.000822 0.001319 0.001999 0.002973
2025-07-06 0.000117 0.000248 0.000459 0.000804 0.001322 0.002043 0.003091
2025-07-13 0.000108 0.000239 0.000457 0.000820 0.001374 0.002157 0.003306
2025-07-20 0.000098 0.000228 0.000451 0.000830 0.001420 0.002264 0.003516
2025-07-27 0.000086 0.000211 0.000434 0.000821 0.001435 0.002327 0.003668
2025-08-03 0.000075 0.000194 0.000415 0.000807 0.001443 0.002379 0.003803
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000187 0.000411 0.000819 0.001489 0.002488 0.004022
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000176 0.000401 0.000818 0.001516 0.002568 0.004201
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000160 0.000378 0.000794 0.001504 0.002590 0.004293
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000145 0.000357 0.000772 0.001493 0.002612 0.004386
2025-09-07 0.000039 0.000136 0.000347 0.000769 0.001513 0.002682 0.004552
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000128 0.000337 0.000766 0.001532 0.002750 0.004714
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000118 0.000324 0.000754 0.001536 0.002793 0.004839
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000108 0.000308 0.000737 0.001530 0.002820 0.004941